Friday, April 3, 2009

NCAA Final Four Guarantees!

Alright boys and girls, here are your Final Four guarantees for tomorrow. For those of you forgot, Flapjack is 11-6 so far for the tournament, picking winners 65% of the time. ChrisUMD did get the UNC game right last week, I did not. However, I won't miss any picks this weekend.

Michigan St. vs UCONN
UCONN favored by 4
THE PICK: MICHIGAN ST. +4
Michigan St. just completely owned the best team in the tournament, Louisville. If UConn is lucky enough to win this game it won't be by more than 4 points, simple as that. I like Kalin Lucas and Goran Suton and the depth of Michigan St. to prevail or at least keep it within 4 points.
Villanova vs. UNC
UNC favored by 7
THE PICK: VILLANOVA +7
Tell me any of the remaining teams are 7 points better than Villanova...there's no way. Villanova is playing arguably the best basketball of any team left. They blew out Duke and UCLA and beat Pitt. They should have beat Pitt by more than 2 though. Regardless, no team left is 7 points better than anyone else. UNC may win the game, but not by more than 7 points. I'm sure ChrisUMD will disagree and say UNC by 20. Not going to happen.
Prop Bet Guarantee
Mich St. vs. UCONN
Largest Lead of the Game +/- 13.5
THE PICK: UNDER 13.5
Are you kidding me?! If you think either team in this game will have a lead of more than 13 points, you're certifiably crazy. Easiest pick of the day.

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